Poker lesson 2/8: Learn how to calculate odds and use position
by Poker Odds on June 28, 2010
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Hes using the 4 and 2 rule of Hold’em, which is calculate your outs for the flop (in the pair case is 3) and then multiply by 4 = 12%, it would be 24% for either one of the cards to hit
@neeber89 first of all, he said “the likelihood of flopping A PAIR is only 12%.” Not a pair of aces, or top pair, but a pair, as in any pair. Second, the rule of 4 and 2 applies to the probability of hitting an out on the turn or river *when you’ve already seen the flop,* not the likelihood of making a hand ON the flop. So you’re barking up the wrong tree there.
I don’t know where he got 12% from. Probably his ass.
{ 5 comments… read them below or add one }
Um, 8:08 – wtf?! The chance of flopping 1 pair with any 2 unpaired hole cards is 28%, not 12%, and 32% to make a pair *or better.*
People pay money for this crap?
Hes using the 4 and 2 rule of Hold’em, which is calculate your outs for the flop (in the pair case is 3) and then multiply by 4 = 12%, it would be 24% for either one of the cards to hit
@neeber89 first of all, he said “the likelihood of flopping A PAIR is only 12%.” Not a pair of aces, or top pair, but a pair, as in any pair. Second, the rule of 4 and 2 applies to the probability of hitting an out on the turn or river *when you’ve already seen the flop,* not the likelihood of making a hand ON the flop. So you’re barking up the wrong tree there.
I don’t know where he got 12% from. Probably his ass.
A great thing to do in early, middle or in the blinds is check in the dark before the flop turn and river,, it basically puts you in late position
@RussellsParadox ive heard so many differnt stats… almost all pros say 33-35%